Jacksonville, FL — “Talking the Tropics With Mike” is updated every day through the end of the Atlantic hurricane season on Nov. 30th.
The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season was off to a slow start with no significant threats to the U.S. through Aug. But Sept., Oct. & Nov. have more than made up for it with 11 named storms over the 3 month period.
The latest storm - Nicole - developed from an upper level low over the Central Atlantic that helped develop a non-tropical then subtropical low several hundred miles north of Puerto Rico & well to the east of the Bahamas. In the end, Nicole’s hit on Florida’s east coast was the latest on record for a hurricane landfall & the 2nd latest U.S. hurricane landfall on record. Only Cat. 2 Kate on Nov. 22nd, 1985 was later (Fl. Panhandle near Mexico Beach). For Jacksonville/NE Fl. & SE Ga., Nicole was one of the latest strong tropical cyclones to ever heavily impact the local area.
On Fri., Nov. 3rd I sent the following memo to our First Alert weather team & station management:
A major storm will hit the local area next week. There are still plenty of question marks when it comes to exact details, but in a general sense – wind & rain – there will be widespread impacts.
Stay tuned for updates…
- Breezy onshore winds this weekend will help “set the table” for next week
- Rough seas & surf & dangerous rip currents will already occur through the weekend
- Already “softened” beaches (Ian & previous nor’easters) will be ripe for the “picking” with such a long stretch of strong, onshore flow/winds
- Conditions will worsen Mon. & likely be at there peak Tue./Wed./Thu., possibly into Fri.
- Winds gusts 30-40+ mph at the beaches… 15-25+ mph inland
- Rough seas & surf w/ very dangerous water conditions/rip currents. Surf will be nearing 10 feet & even greater than 10 feet by Tue. through much of the rest of the week
- Sea water will likely breach some of the dunes & probably many of the dunes that were damaged by Ian
- Rainfall will be heavy at times & will increase each day through next week
- The storm system responsible – low pressure – may or may not become “Nicole” but either way the impacts will be virtually the same.
- If the storm goes more toward south Florida, it’s *possible* it could be stronger, *maybe* even hurricane strength BUT far from certain
- Bottom line: be prepared for rough weather & a busy weather week. The one thing that impacts everyone over the next week will be….. weather.
- #FirstAlertWx…. “Talking the Tropics With Mike”
In “Talking the Tropics With Mike” the week of Oct. 30th, I wrote about the “high likelihood of tropical development over the Caribbean &/or SW Atlantic within the next 1-2 weeks”. Halloween, Mon. Oct. 31st: “The Caribbean is a typical “hot bed” for late season development & will be an area that needs to closely watched for additional development over the next 1-2 weeks or so. In fact, most global models shows low pressure trying to develop over the Caribbean &/or SW Atlantic this coming weekend into the following week.” The next day on Tue., Nov. 1: “The Caribbean is a typical “hot bed” for late season development & will be an area that needs to closely watched for additional development over the next 1-2 weeks or so. In fact, most global models shows low pressure trying to develop over the Caribbean &/or SW Atlantic - perhaps not far from Florida - by next week”.
Until Sun., Nov. 6th, the global forecast models had been at great odds as to whether or not a tropical system would develop not to mention location & where a storm might go. While the GFS forecast models were pretty consistent/insistent the previous week with development, it had wide swings in location & intensity. The European model generally showed only very weak low pressure or nothing at all. But then on Nov. 6th - 4 days before the Fl. landfall, most of the global models finally jumped “onboard” with tropical development over the SW Atlantic emanating from an upper level (500mb, ~ 30,000 feet) low & trough in the same general area.
The graph below from Brian Hong-An Tang, Associate Professor University at Albany - SUNY Dept. Atmospheric & Environmental Sciences shows the errors in kilometers from 24 through 96 hours. It should be noted there were several models not initializing Nicole at 96 hours (4 days). Unfortunately there is no data - in this particular sample - that includes the European model. In general... the model errors at 72 hours & less were not terribly bad with the model errors pretty tightly clustered & - in general - respectable. A list of the model abbreviations (key) * here *.
Once on to the potential development, forecast models fairly quickly became pretty locked in on general movement, strength & timing. But at 4+ days out, there were several models - the European included - that failed to show much development of the low pressure area that eventually became “Nicole”. Ultimately, the key to the track forecast was a narrow upper level ridge building north of Nicole that would push the tropical cyclone west, even a little southwest before an approaching upper level trough of low pressure helped create an alleyway from Fl. through the Appalachians which would be the path of least resistance that Nicole needed to turn northwest then north then N/NE.
500mb (~30,000 feet) forecast for Nov., 9 followed by Nov. 11th:
Initially - for about 24 hours or so - Nicole was subtropical technically lacking a pure warm core that had frontal features. While scientifically correct, I felt the distinction caused confusion for our viewers & listeners & muddled our messaging (similar to “post-tropical storm Sandy in the Northeast in 2012). I implored our newsroom to only use the name of the storm - ‘Nicole’ - & to not get caught up in semantics with a storm I fully expected to become tropical & that would be very damaging for especially our coast & St. Johns River. In other words, I wanted folks to understand Nicole would be a significant late season storm. Always remember: there’s no such thing as “just a” - any & all storms can be dangerous & have nuances that can be “surprising” & dangerous. So I worked tirelessly to communicate the threats while not going overboard with “the sky is falling”. That’s a delicate balance & communication especially if your home has a tree on it or is flooded. Then Nicole does out to be severe for your exact location.
Another serious aspect of the forecast & communicating the threats was the good ol’ forecast cone. Now 20 years in the making, the pros are solid but the cons are getting in the way. Case & point: once the cone narrows - which demonstrates a high confidence forecast - some thought you were outside of the “impact zone” if you were no longer in the cone. So following the lead of a NHC graphic (good idea!), the First Alert Weather Team consistently showed the cone while at the same time showing the wind wind field of tropical storm force winds. I also had a graphic created showing Ian from just 6 weeks earlier vs. Nicole impacts. This proved to work well for many viewers/listeners.
The narrow forecast cone below vs. the wind field in the 2nd image:
“Spot on” First Alert Forecast Sunday, Nov. 6th:
Wed.-Thu., Nov. 9-10 rainfall:
First Alert Doppler HD as the eye of Nicole approaches the coast at 1AM EST:
Front St., Fernandina Beach:
Downtown Jacksonville St. Johns River flooding which fell about a foot short of Irma’s crest in 2017...
Tree on a home on Jacksonville’s Northside:
Crescent Beach severe erosion:
Action News Jax Robert Grant reporting on the severe Southern St. Johns Co. beach erosion:
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Action News Jax Kennedy Dendy on FEMA & storm recovery:
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The lighter side of Nicole as man’s best friend takes a “bath”:
First Alert Weather Team “at attention” :) ..... L-R: Corey Simma, Garrett Bedenbaugh, “Chief”, Trevor Gibbs...
Making sure the office studio light is in working order:
On the air live w/ Rich Jones, 104.5 WOKV - crucial partnership - radio & t.v....
The Jacksonville N.W.S. preliminary Nicole summary/survey:
POST TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT...HURRICANE NICOLE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
919 PM EST THU NOV 17 2022
NOTE: THE DATA SHOWN HERE ARE PRELIMINARY....AND SUBJECT TO UPDATES AND CORRECTIONS AS APPROPRIATE.
THIS REPORT INCLUDES EVENTS OCCURRING WHEN WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS WERE IN EFFECT...OR WHEN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH NICOLE
OR ITS REMNANTS WAS AFFECTING THE AREA. COUNTIES INCLUDED...ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...CAMDEN...CLAY... COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST...GLYNN...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE...UNION
A. LOWEST SEA LEVEL PRESSURE/MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AND PEAK GUSTS
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METAR OBSERVATIONS...
NOTE: ANEMOMETER HEIGHT IS 10 METERS AND WIND AVERAGING IS 2 MINUTES
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LOCATION ID MIN DATE/ MAX DATE/ PEAK DATE/
LAT LON PRES TIME SUST TIME GUST TIME
DEG DECIMAL (MB) (UTC) (KT) (UTC) (KT) (UTC)
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KGNV-GAINESVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT FL
29.68 -82.27 995.0 10/1853 090/027 10/1741 050/054 10/1608
KSGJ-SAINT AUGUSTINE AIRPORT FL
29.97 -81.33 1001.2 10/1356 070/044 10/1310 060/053 10/1303
KNRB-MAYPORT NAVAL STATION FL
30.39 -81.42 1001.4 10/1952 080/039 10/1511 080/053 10/1509
KJAX-JACKSONVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT FL
30.49 -81.69 1000.6 10/1956 060/034 10/1425 040/052 10/1422
KCRG-CRAIG MUNICIPAL AIRPORT FL
30.33 -81.52 1000.9 10/1953 080/028 10/1455 070/050 10/1503
KNIP-JACKSONVILLE NAS FL
30.24 -81.68 999.5 10/1853 060/030 10/1445 120/046 10/1916
KSSI-ST. SIMONS/MALCOLM MCKINNON AIRPORT GA
31.15 -81.38 1003.9 10/2153 080/028 10/1525 080/046 10/1524
K28J-PALATKA FL
29.66 -81.69 998.3 10/1835 100/031 10/1535 100/044 10/1535
KFHB-FERNANDINA BEACH FL
30.61 -81.45 1002.35 10/2035 080/033 10/1515 080/043 10/1415
KFIN-BUNNELL FL
29.47 -81.20 998.9 10/1215 050/029 10/1035 070/041 10/1135
KJAX-JACKSONVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT FL
30.49 -81.69 999.3 10/1950 080/024 10/1550 060/040 10/1410
KAMG-BACON COUNTY AIRPORT GA
31.54 -82.50 1001.6 10/2253 120/017 10/2355 100/037 11/0122
KOCF-OCALA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT FL
29.18 -82.22 992.0 10/1751 130/025 10/1820 130/036 10/1817
KBQK-BRUNSWICK/GLYNCO AIPORT GA
31.15 -81.47 1004.0 10/2215 090/022 10/2055 090/036 10/2055
K24J-LIVE OAK FL
30.30 -83.02 995.2 10/2215 350/024 10/1615 350/035 10/1615
KAYS-WAYCROSS GA
31.25 -82.40 1000.8 10/2215 120/020 10/2155 050/035 10/1715
REMARKS: FLAGLER COUNTY AWOS DATA WAS NOT AVAILABLE FROM NOV 10
1235Z TO NOV 11 0255Z.
NON-METAR OBSERVATIONS...
NOTE: ANEMOMETER HEIGHT IN METERS AND WIND AVERAGING PERIOD IN
MINUTES INDICATED UNDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND IF KNOWN
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LOCATION ID MIN DATE/ MAX DATE/ PEAK DATE/
LAT LON PRES TIME SUST TIME GUST TIME
DEG DECIMAL (MB) (UTC) (KT) (UTC) (KT) (UTC)
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1423W-WEATHERSTEM MARINELAND FL
29.67 -81.21 998.5 10/1230 090/050 10/1120 090/063 10/1120
2.7
XHUP-HUGUENOT PARK
30.42 -81.41 1002 10/1946 060/050 10/1456 060/063 10/1456
12.2
1426W-WEATHERSTEM ST JOHNS COUNTY FL
29.99 -81.32 070/052 10/1330 090/062 10/1340
3.9
XJAK-BUCK ISLAND
30.40 -81.47 1000 10/1950 070/039 10/1515 070/054 10/1515
10.4
XHSE-WEATHERFLOW CRESCENT BEACH SUMMERHOUSE
29.72 -81.23 1000 10/1820 350/031 10/2015 350/050 10/1955
5.2
XJEK-JEKYLL ISLAND GA
31.05 -81.41 9999 060/032 10/1514 060/043 10/1524
10.4
REMARKS: DATA PROVIDED BY WEATHERFLOW-TEMPEST NETWORK AND
WEATHERSTEM.
B. MARINE OBSERVATIONS...
NOTE: ANEMOMETER HEIGHT IN METERS AND WIND AVERAGING PERIOD IN
MINUTES INDICATED UNDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND IF KNOWN
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LOCATION ID MIN DATE/ MAX DATE/ PEAK DATE/
LAT LON PRES TIME SUST TIME GUST TIME
DEG DECIMAL (MB) (UTC) (KT) (UTC) (KT) (UTC)
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SAUF1-CMAN STATION SAINT AUGUSTINE FL
29.86 -81.26 1000.8 10/1900 040/045 10/1210 060/061 10/1303
8.8
GTXF1-NERR STATION GUANA TOLOMAO MATANZAS FL
29.66 -81.22 1001.0 10/2000 130/022 10/1815
4.4
MYPF1-NOS STATION MAYPORT FL
30.40 -81.43 1001.9 10/1954 070/037 10/1454 070/047 10/1500
11.2
FRDF1-FERNANDINA BCH, FL NOS
30.67 -81.47 1002.4 10/2042 010/023 10/1054 010/036 10/0906
8.8
BKBF1-I295 BUCKMAN BRIDGE
30.19 -81.69 999.6 10/1836 100/036 10/1830 050/046 10/1330
11.1
NFDF1-NAVY FUEL DEPOT, ST JOHNS RV, FL NOS
30.40 -81.63 1000.8 10/2006 050/032 10/1430 050/042 10/1430
REMARKS: THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT (HS) AT BUOY 41117 REACHED 5.7
METERS OR 18.7 FEET, WITH A PEAK WAVE (HMAX) OF 9.9 METERS OR 32.5
FEET ON 11/10 AROUND 1330 UTC. BUOY 41112 MEASURED SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT (HS) TO 4.5 METERS OR 14.7 FEET, WITH PEAK WAVE (HMAX) OF 8.4
METERS OR 27.5 FEET ON 11/10 AROUND 1430 UTC. DATA PROVIDED BY
SCRIPPS INSTITUTION OF OCEANOGRAPHY.
C. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL FROM 0000 UTC NOV 10 UNTIL 0000 UTC NOV 12
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CITY/TOWN COUNTY ID RAINFALL
LAT LON (IN)
DEG DECIMAL
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1 NE FRUIT COVE ST JOHNS FW6950 4.14
30.11 -81.61
1 ENE MANDARIN DUVAL FW6993 4.12
30.16 -81.63
4 NE BAKERSVILLE ST JOHNS FW8076 3.67
29.94 -81.44
2 ESE SAN MATEO PUTNAM FL-PT-24 3.33
29.59 -81.55
5 NW INTERLACHEN PUTNAM DW9112 3.31
29.67 -81.95
5 NW SALT SPRINGS MARION LGRF1 3.25
29.40 -81.81
5 NW GAINESVILLE ALACHUA EW3527 3.22
29.73 -82.42
1 NW ORANGE PARK CLAY AW004 3.20
30.18 -81.73
3 NW UNIVERSITY OF FLORI ALACHUA DW8556 3.13
29.67 -82.39
NAS JACKSONVILLE DUVAL KNIP 2.94
30.22 -81.67
CRAIG AIRFIELD DUVAL KCRG 2.67
30.33 -81.52
GAINESVILLE ALACHUA KGNV 2.55
29.70 -82.28
ST AUGUSTINE ST JOHNS KSGJ 2.42
29.97 -813167.00
JACKSONVILLE INT AIRPORT DUVAL KJAX 2.17
30.50 -81.68
D. INLAND FLOODING...
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E. MAXIMUM OBSERVED WATER LEVEL (WL)...
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ID CITY/TOWN COUNTY STATE WL DATUM DATE/ SOURCE
OR LOCATION (FT) TIME
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PELF1 PELLICER CREEK ST JOHNS FL 3.82 MHHW 10/1700 USGS
29.6692 -81.2597
BKBF1 ST JOHNS RIVER, DUVAL FL 3.82 MHHW 10/1906 NOS
30.1924 -81.6889
FRDF1 FERNANDINA BEAC NASSAU FL 3.81 MHHW 10/1554 NOS
30.6717 -81.4650
JAKF1 CEDAR RIVER AT DUVAL FL 3.73 MHHW 10/1900 USGS
30.2819 -81.7406
TRJF1 TROUT RIVER AT DUVAL FL 3.72 MHHW 10/1715 USGS
30.4172 -81.6967
BRNG1 ST SIMONS ISLAN GLYNN GA 3.67 MHHW 10/1500 USGS
31.1333 -81.3967
MYPF1 ST JOHNS RIVER DUVAL FL 3.57 MHHW 10/1506 NOS
30.3917 -81.4300
BUCF1 ST JOHNS RIVER DUVAL FL 3.82 MHHW 10/1906 NOS
30.1847 -81.6844
DMSF1 ST JOHNS RIVER DUVAL FL 3.50 MHHW 10/1612 NOS
30.3867 -81.5583
GCEF1 ST JOHNS RIVER ST JOHNS FL 3.52 MHHW 10/2000 USGS
30.0058 -81.6150
CSAG1 SEA CAMP DOCK O CAMDEN GA 3.47 MHHW 10/1600 USGS
30.7644 -81.4714
BRJF1 BROWARD RIVER B DUVAL FL 3.46 MHHW 10/1800 NOS
30.4433 -81.6683
DPBF1 ST JOHNS RIVER DUVAL FL 3.45 MHHW 10/1630 USGS
30.3858 -81.5583
SJLF1 ST JOHNS RIVER DUVAL FL 3.36 MHHW 10/1800 USGS
30.3222 -81.6656
CCJF1 CLAPBOARD CREEK DUVAL FL 3.34 MHHW 10/1630 USGS
30.4483 -81.5183
MSBF1 ST JOHNS RIVER DUVAL FL 3.29 MHHW 10/1806 NOS
30.3200 -81.6583
SPUF1 DEEP CREEK AT S ST JOHNS FL 3.15 MHHW 10/0230 USGS
29.7294 -81.4869
SRPF1 ST JOHNS RIVER ST JOHNS FL 3.11 MHHW 10/2115 USGS
29.8000 -81.5500
DNSF1 DUNNS CREEK NEA PUTNAM FL 3.10 MHHW 10/1315 USGS
29.5775 -81.6264
DCDF1 DUNN CREEK AT D DUVAL FL 3.04 MHHW 10/1730 USGS
30.4550 -81.5969
PALF1 ST JOHNS RIVER PUTNAM FL 2.94 MHHW 10/2345 USGS
29.5961 -81.6833
JULF1 JULINGTON CREEK DUVAL FL 2.91 MHHW 10/2130 USGS
30.1433 -81.5558
PCUF1 POTTSBURG CREEK DUVAL FL 2.79 MHHW 10/1745 USGS
30.2869 -81.5700
SRWG1 SATILLA RIVER A CAMDEN GA 1.72 MHHW 10/1745 USGS
30.9744 -81.7258
REMARKS:
F. TORNADOES...
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(DIST)CITY/TOWN COUNTY DATE/ EF SCALE
LAT LON (DEG DECIMAL) TIME(UTC) (IF KNOWN)
DESCRIPTION
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G. STORM IMPACTS BY COUNTY...
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COUNTY DEATHS INJURIES EVACUATIONS
DESCRIPTION
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FLAGLER
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND STORM SURGE AFFECTED FLAGLER
COUNTY AND LED TO SUBSTANTIAL PROPERTY DAMAGE ACROSS THE COUNTY.
MAJOR, DESTRUCTIVE BEACH EROSION AND STORM SURGE IMPACTED THE COAST
WITH THE PEAK OF IMPACTS THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 10TH.
SECTIONS OF A1A WHERE UNDERMINED AND COLLAPSED DUE TO THE EXTENSIVE
BEACH EROSION WITH NUMEROUS BEACH ACCESS BOARDWALKS AND STAIRS
DEMOLISHED AND WASHED AWAY IN FLAGLER BEACH ALONG A1A SOUTH INTO THE
OCEAN PALM GOLF CLUB AREA. THERE WAS STORM SURGE FLOODING AT WHITNEY
LABS IN MARINELAND. STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IMPACTED THE
COUNTY. PRELIMINARY DAMAGE ESTIMATES FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY’S
CUMULATIVE IMPACT WAS 23.7 MILLION DOLLARS WITH 299 STRUCTURES
DAMAGED. ON WEDNESDAY NOV. 9TH AT 9:10 AM, THE PUBLIC POSTED ON
SOCIAL MEDIA THAT THE END OF THE FLAGLER BEACH PIER FURTHER
COLLAPSED FROM HIGH SURF. THE STRUCTURE WAS ALREADY WEAKENED FROM
HURRICANE IAN. AT 10:26 AM, FLAGLER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
(EMA) REPORTED THAT STATE ROAD A1A WAS CLOSED SOUTH OF THE FLAGLER
BEACH PIER FROM SOUTH 7TH STREET TO SOUTH 16TH STREET DUE TO TIDAL
OVER-WASH. AT 10:28 AM, FLAGLER EMA REPORTED THAT STATE ROAD A1A WAS
CLOSED NEAR MARINELAND. AT 12:25 PM, FLAGLER EMA REPORTED THAT THEY
RECEIVED MULTIPLE REPORTS OF WATER OVER THE SEA WALLS IN PALM COAST
AND LONG CREEK WAS OVER ITS BANKS. AT 12:40 PM, A MESONET STATION IN
MARINELAND MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 52 MPH. ON THURSDAY NOV. 10TH AT
4:06 AM, FLAGLER EMA REPORTED SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OF 39 MPH WITH A WIND GUST OF 55 MPH IN MARINELAND. AT 4:37 AM, PEAK
WIND GUSTS IN MARINELAND WERE UP TO 57 MPH AND GUSTS OF 55 MPH
CONTINUED THROUGH 5 AM. AT 5:20 AM, THE MARINELAND MESONET SITE
MEASURED SUSTAINED 49 MPH WINDS FROM THE EAST. BY 5:35 AM, A MESONET
STATION IN FLAGLER BEACH MEASURED SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 39 MPH FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS TO 59 MPH. AT 5:50 AM, A
MESONET STATION IN MARINELAND MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 59 MPH AND
THEN AT 6:30 AM, THE STATION MEASURED A 72 MPH WIND GUST. AT 6:35
AM, A MESONET SITE IN FLAGLER BEACH MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 60 MPH.
AT 8 AM, COCORAHS OBSERVER IN PALM COAST REPORTED HEAVY RAINFALL WAS
PRODUCING MINOR FLOODING. AT 8:30 AM, FLAGLER EM REPORTED MULTIPLE
INSTANCES OF STORM SURGE FLOODING IN MARINELAND. THE STORM WAS
BREAKING THROUGH DUNES AND CAUSING ROAD FLOODING. SOUTH PALMETTO
AVENUE IN FLAGLER BEACH WAS UNDERWATER AROUND THIS TIME AND IN PALM
COAST WATER WAS OVERTOPPING CANAL WALLS WHILE STILL RISING. AT 11:08
AM, BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED STORM SURGE FLOODING IN PALM COAST NEAR
WASHINGTON OAKS GARDENS STATE PARK AND A1A. ON FRIDAY NOVEMBER 11TH
AT 10:48 AM, AN NWS SURVEY REPORTED THAT MULTIPLE HOMES IN SOUTH
FLAGLER BEACH WERE INUNDATED WITH STORM SURGE CAUSING MAJOR DAMAGE.
EXTENSIVE PROPERTY DAMAGE OCCURRED IN BEVERLY BEACH AND IN THE SOUTH
FLAGLER BEACH AREAS. A TOTAL OF 24 STRUCTURES SUSTAINED MAJOR DAMAGE
DUE TO ESTIMATED STORM SURGE INUNDATION OF AROUND OF 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMALLY DRY GROUND. A DAMAGE ASSESSMENT SURVEY INDICATED ABOUT 2
FEET OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION AT THE INTERSECTION OF SOUTH FLAGLER
AVENUE AND SOUTH 25TH STREET. ABOUT 1 FT 9 INCHES OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION OCCURRED AT BINGS LANDING AND 1 FT 7 INCHES OF INUNDATION
OCCURRED AT THE INTERSECTION OF SOUTH DAYTONA AVENUE AND SOUTH 26TH
STREET. A PORTION OF STATE ROAD A1A COLLAPSED AFTER BEING UNDERCUT
AS STORM SURGE AND WAVE ACTION ENTIRELY ERODED THE ADJACENT DUNE.
ST JOHNS 0 0 0
STORM SURGE DAMAGE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IMPACT THE COUNTY.
ESTIMATED STORM SURGE AND WIND DAMAGE LOSS WAS AROUND $34.1 MILLION
DOLLARS. AN ESTIMATED 600,000 CUBIC YARDS OF BEACH SAND AND
APPROXIMATELY 400,000 CUBIC YARDS OF DUNE SAND WERE LOST, FROM
COUNTY MAINTAINED BEACHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IMPACTED THE
MATANZAS INLET AREA. DAVIS SHORES, CRESCENT BEACH, BUTLER BEACH,
ANASTASIA ISLAND, VILANO BEACH, AND PORTIONS OF ST. AUGUSTINE
EXPERIENCED STORM SURGE INUNDATION. PARTS OF A1A WERE UNDERMINED
AROUND VILANO BEACH. SEVERE DAMAGE OCCURRED TO THE BEACHES AND OTHER
ROADS ALONG THE COAST. ON WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 9TH AT 2 AM, THE C-MAN
STATION AT ST. AUGUSTINE, SAUF1, MEASURED SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH FROM THE NNE. AT 4:30 AM, A MESONET STATION AT
SUMMERHOUSE MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 50 MPH. AT 7:55 AM, THE C-MAN
STATION SAUF1 MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 51 MPH. AT 9:10 AM, THE ST.
JOHNS COUNTY EMA REPORTED STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE PARKING LOT OF
CASTILLO DE SAN MARCOS IN HISTORIC ST. AUGUSTINE ALONG THE MATANZAS
RIVER. AT 9:11 AM, THE COUNTY EM REPORTED STORM SURGE FLOODING IN
THE STREETS AND AROUND HOMES NEAR DAVIS SHORES ON ANASTASIA ISLAND.
AT 9:25 AM, THE COUNTY EM REPORTED STORM SURGE FLOOD WATER ACROSS
SURFSIDE AVENUE AND THAT STORM SURGE SURROUNDED HOMES IN VILANO
BEACH. AT 9:30 AM, BUSINESS WEB CAMS IN ST. AUGUSTINE SHOWED ABOUT 6
INCHES TO ONE FOOT OF STORM SURGE FLOOD WATER OVER AVENIDA MENENDEZ
FLORIDA HIGHWAY A1A. AT 10:30 AM, THE COUNTY EM REPORTED STATE ROAD
A1A WAS CLOSED NEAR VILANO BEACH DUE TO STORM SURGE OVERWASH. AT
12:20 PM, THE PUBLIC REPORTED THAT PELLICER CREEK IN FAVER DYKES
STATE PARK WAS IN MODERATE FLOOD DUE TO STORM SURGE. AT THIS TIME,
THE GAUGE WAS 2.22 FT MHHW. AT 12:55 PM, A MESONET SITE AT
SUMMERHOUSE MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 52 MPH. AT 1 PM, THE C-MAN
STATION SAUF1 MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 52 MPH. AT 1:50 PM, THE
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REPORTED SIGNIFICANT UNDERMINING OF A
HOME ALONG A1A NEAR VILANO BEACH DUE TO STORM SURGE. THIS
UNDERMINING WAS WORSE THAN RECENT STORMS. AT 1:50 PM, THE DOT ALSO
REPORTED AN OVERWASH OF THE DUNES ALONG A1A JUST NORTH OF
MARINELAND. AT 5:30 PM, DOT REPORTED THAT A1A NEAR OLD A1A NORTH OF
MARINELAND WAS CLOSED DUE TO UNSAFE CONDITIONS INCLUDING OVERWASH ON
THE ROADWAY AND THE ROADWAY UNDER WATER. AT 10:17 PM, THE BROADCAST
MEDIA REPORTED THAT THE MATANZAS RIVER STORM SURGE FLOODED THE
STREETS NEAR THE SEA WALL IN HISTORIC ST. AUGUSTINE. ON THURSDAY,
NOVEMBER 10TH, AT 5:20 AM, A MESONET SITE IN ST. AUGUSTINE MEASURED
A WIND GUST OF 51 MPH. AT 6:19 AM, THE C-MAN STATION SAUF1 MEASURED
A WIND GUST OF 67 MPH. AT 6:30 AM, A MESONET SITE IN ST. AUGUSTINE
MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 52 MPH. AT 6:40 AM, THE SAME MESONET SITE
MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 59 MPH. AT 7 AM, A MESONET SITE IN ST.
AUGUSTINE BEACH MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 55 MPH. AT 7:16 AM, THE AWOS
AT THE ST. AUGUSTINE AIRPORT MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 61 MPH. AT 7:19
AM, THE SAME AWOS MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 55 MPH. AT 7:20 AM, A
MESONET STATION AT THE ST. JOHNS COUNTY FIRE STATION IN SOUTH PONTE
VEDRA BEACH MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH. AT 7:28 AM, THE
BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED THAT A1A FROM ST. JOHNS COUNTY INTO FLAGLER
COUNTY WAS CLOSED DUE TO STORM SURGE WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.
THE HISTORIC BRIDGE OF LIONS WAS ALSO CLOSED IN ST. AUGUSTINE. AT
8:20 AM, THE ST. JOHNS COUNTY FIRE STATION IN SOUTH PONTE VEDRA
BEACH MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 67 MPH. AT 8:30 AM, A MESONET STATION
IN ST. AUGUSTINE MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 60 MPH. AT 8:40 AM, THE ST.
JOHNS COUNTY FIRE STATION IN SOUTH PONTE VEDRA BEACH MEASURED A WIND
GUST OF 71 MPH. AT 8:45 AM, A BUSINESS WEB CAM IN ST. AUGUSTINE
INDICATED ABOUT 2.5 FT OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION ALONG THE AVENIDA
MENENDEZ A1A THROUGH HISTORIC ST. AUGUSTINE. AT 9:30 AM, ST. JOHNS
EM REPORTED A WATER RESCUE WAS ONGOING ALONG STATE ROAD A1A IN SOUTH
PONTE VEDRA BEACH TO EVACUATE A RESIDENT THAT WAS STRANDED DURING
STORM SURGE FLOODING. AT 9:30 AM, ST. JOHNS EMA REPORTED THAT MAY
STREET WAS CLOSED WEST OF USINA CAUSEWAY DUE TO STORM SURGE
FLOODING. AT 11:41 AM, BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED THAT A1A WAS
UNDERMINED AND PARTLY COLLAPSED IN VILANO BEACH IN THE NORTH BOUND
LANE DUE TO STORM SURGE AND EROSION. AT 11:50 AM, BROADCAST MEDIA
REPORTED THAT STATE ROAD A1A WAS CLOSED IN CRESCENT BEACH DUE TO
STORM SURGE FLOODING OVER THE ROAD. AT 12 PM, THE USGS TIDE GAUGE ON
PELLICER CREEK IN FAVER DYKES STATE PARK RECORDED A PEAK STORM SURGE
INUNDATION OF 3.82 FT MHHW. MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS AT 3.3 FT MHHW AT
THIS LOCATION. AT 2 PM, ST JOHNS EMA REPORTED AN APPROXIMATE 4 MILE
STRETCH OF STATE ROAD A1A WAS INACCESSIBLE FROM GUANA RIVER ROAD TO
CARCABA ROAD DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. ABOUT 2,000 HOMES ARE
LOCATED ALONG THIS STRETCH OF ROADWAY THAT WAS CUT-OFF DUE TO STORM
SURGE. ABOUT 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IMPACTED THE COUNTY FROM
NICOLE.
PUTNAM
MAJOR RIVER FLOODING OCCURRED ALONG THE ST. JOHNS RIVER BASIN WITH
NUMEROUS HOMES AND STRUCTURE FLOODED IN STEPHENS POINT AND WELAKA.
GUSTY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE COUNTY CAUSED SPORADIC
TREE DAMAGE. ON WEDNESDAY NOV 9TH AROUND 6 PM, MODERATE TIDAL
FLOODING WAS REPORTED WITH WATER DEPTH 2.54 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
MHHW DATUM AT THE DUNNS CREEK GAUGE NEAR SATSUMA. THE PUTNAM COUNTY
EM RELAYED IMAGES OF MULTIPLE STREETS AND YARDS FLOODED ALONG DUNNS
CREEK. AROUND THE SAME TIME, THE EM SHARED PHOTOS OF STREET FLOODING
ALONG ROADS IN WELAKA NEAR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER WITH WATER DEPTH
ESTIMATED AROUND 1-2 FT INUNDATION. ON THURSDAY NOV 10TH AT 7:20 AM,
THE PUTNAM EM REPORTED STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE SPORTSMANS HARBOR
AREA IN WELAKA/STEPHENS POINT. WATER WAS HALFWAY UP THE FIRE
HYDRANTS AND SOME MAILBOXES WITH ROADS NON-DRIVABLE DUE TO FLOODING.
AROUND 9:07 AM, A MESONET STATION ABOUT 5 MILES SE OF CRESCENT CITY
MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH. BY 10 AM, THE PUTNAM EM REPORTED
THAT THE MAYOR OF WELAKA REPORTED STORM SURGE FLOODING THAT EXCEEDED
IAN LEVELS. THE DUNNS CREEK TIDE GAUGE HAD A MORNING CREST OF 3.1 FT
MHHW DATUM (MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS AT 3.0 FT MHHW AT THIS LOCATION).
AT 10:35 AM, THE LARKIN AIRPORT K28J MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 51 MPH.
LINGERING MAJOR TO MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING CONTINUED THROUGH THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO A LINGERING SEICHE WAVE IN THE RIVER THAT
GRADUALLY DAMPENED WITH TIDE CYCLES. MEASURED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
ACROSS THE COUNTY RANGED BETWEEN 2-4 INCHES.
GLYNN
MANY AREAS OF STORM SURGE FLOODING REPORTED FROM JEKYLL ISLAND TO
AREAS IN BRUNSWICK AND ST SIMONS ISLAND. MORE SIGNIFICANT SURGE
FLOODING WAS REPORTED OVER THE SOUTHEAST ST SIMONS ISLAND AND IN THE
CITY OF BRUNSWICK. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IMPACTED
LOCATIONS EAST OF INTERSTATE 95. ON 11/10 AT 6:57 AM, THE ASOS AT
BRUNSWICK MCKINNON AIRPORT (KSSI) MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 51 MPH. AT
10 AM, THE USGS TIDE STATION AT THE ST. SIMONS ISLAND VILLAGE PIER
RECORDED A PEAK STORM SURGE OF 3.67 FT MHHW DATUM. MAJOR FLOODING
BEGINS AT 3.5 FT MHHW AT THIS LOCATION. AT 10:34 AM, RIVERSIDE DRIVE
IN BRUNSWICK WAS FLOODED BY STORM SURGE PER A PUBLIC REPORT. AT
10:58 AM, LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED THAT THE FJ TORRES CAUSEWAY TO
SAINT SIMONS ISLAND AND THE SEA ISLAND CAUSEWAY WAS FLOODED DUE TO
STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAS CLOSED. AT 11:19 AM, GLYNN COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT U.S. HIGHWAY 17 FROM THE BASE OF
THE SIDNEY LANIER BRIDGE TO PARKWOOD DRIVE WAS CLOSED DUE TO STORM
SURGE FLOODING. AT 11:22 AM, GLYNN COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
REPORTED THAT BAY STREET AND MANSFIELD STREET WERE CLOSED IN THE
CITY OF BRUNSWICK DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. AT 11:24 AM, GLYNN
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT THE EAST BEACH CAUSEWAY ON
SAINT SIMONS ISLAND WAS CLOSED DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. OCEAN
ROAD AND BRUCE DRIVE WERE ALSO CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. ARNOLD AVENUE
IN THE VILLAGE WAS CLOSED DUE TO STORM SURGE. AT 11:29 AM, GLYNN
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED STORM SURGE WAS OVER THE
ENTRANCE AREA TO THE JEKYLL ISLAND CAUSEWAY. AT 11:36 AM GLYNN
COUNTY EMA REPORTED THAT STORM SURGE FLOOD WATER WAS OVER THE ROAD
ON GLOUSCESTER STREET AND LANIER BLVD IN BRUNSWICK. THE WATER WAS
OVER THE ROAD ON LANIER BLVD NEAR PRINCE STREET TO NEAR THE GLYNN
COUNTY MIDDLE SCHOOL. AT 11:46 AM, GLYNN COUNTY EMA REPORTED THAT
STORM SURGE FLOOD WATER WAS OVER THE BLYTHE ISLAND PARKWAY. AT 11:58
AM, GLYNN COUNTY EMA REPORTED THAT THE BEACH CROSSOVER WAS DESTROYED
ON JEKYLL ISLAND. AT 12 PM, THE PUBLIC REPORTED THAT STORM SURGE
WATER WAS OVER THE ROADWAY AND SURROUNDED STRUCTURES ON ST SIMONS
ISLAND. WATER WAS POSSIBLY IN SOME GROUND LEVEL STRUCTURES. ALSO AT
NOON, GLYNN COUNTY EMA REPORTED THAT STORM SURGE FLOOD WATER WAS AT
TWO WAY FISH CAMP. AT 12:03 PM, THE PUBLIC RELAYED A PICTURE OF
PUBLIC WORKS EQUIPMENT REMOVING DEBRIS FROM THE FJ TORRAS CAUSEWAY.
WATER SUBSIDED FROM THE ROADWAY IN THIS AREA BUT DEBRIS MANAGEMENT
WAS ONGOING. AT 12:24 PM, GLYNN COUNTY EMA REPORTED THAT STORM SURGE
FLOOD WATER COVERED SOME ROADWAYS ON OAK GROVE ISLAND.
CAMDEN
MOST IMPACTS WERE NEAR AREAS IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT TO COASTAL
WATERWAYS. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS OCCURRED AROUND HIGH TIDE
THURSDAY MORNING, NOVEMBER 11TH WHERE MOST STORM SURGE INUNDATION
DAMAGE OCCURRED IN DOWNTOWN ST. MARYS AREA AND CUJO POINT, A SMALL
SUBDIVISION IN THE DOVER BLUFF AREA IN NORTHEAST CAMDEN COUNTY.
AROUND 9:30 AM ON 11/10, SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION, SURGE FLOODING,
AND FLOOD WATER ENTERED THE DUNE SYSTEM ON CUMBERLAND ISLAND. AT
9:55 AM, CUMBERLAND ISLAND NATIONAL SEASHORE EMPLOYEES REPORTED
WATER TOPPED THE SEAWALL AND MINOR STREET FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN
ST. MARYS ON ST. MARYS STREET. THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY TIDE
STATION ON CUMBERLAND ISLAND AT THE SEA CAMP DOCK RECORDED A PEAK
WATER LEVEL OF 3.47 FT ABOVE MHHW DATUM ON NOVEMBER 11TH AT 11 AM.
MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS AT 3.7 FEET ABOVE MHHW. THIS WAS THE HIGHEST
TIDE RECORDED AT THIS GAUGE SINCE HURRICANE MATTHEW IN OCTOBER 2016,
WHEN THE PEAK WATER LEVEL WAS 3.48 FT ABOVE MHHW. ON 11/10 AROUND
2:20 PM, SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING OCCURRED IN DOWNTOWN ST.
MARYS NEAR THE WATERFRONT AT ST. MARYS HOWARD GILMAN MEMORIAL
WATERFRONT PARK, BOAT RAMP, AND ON RESIDENTIAL ROADS NEAR ST MARYS
STREET W AND ST MARYS STREET E. TWO BRIDGES WERE CLOSED IN ST.
MARYS. PEAK WIND GUSTS OF 39 MPH WERE OBSERVED AT THE STAFFORD GAUGE
AND ALONG I-95. IN ST. MARYS, TWO HOUSES WERE DAMAGED FROM FALLING
TREES, BOTH AWAY FROM THE WATER, AND SEVERAL HOMES AND BUSINESSES
NEAR THE ST. MARYS RIVER THAT HAD WATER INTRUSION INSIDE THE
STRUCTURES. ONE ST. MARYS RESIDENT TWO BLOCKS NORTH OF THE
WATERFRONT REPORTED 7 INCHES OF WATER IN ONE OF THEIR BUILDINGS. AT
CUJO POINT, RESIDENTS HAD AS MUCH AS 15 INCHES OF WATER IN THEIR
YARDS. THERE WAS ONE RESIDENCE WITH APPROXIMATELY 10 INCHES OF WATER
IN THEIR LIVING QUARTERS. THE NEIGHBORHOOD HAS A LARGE VOLUME OF
MARSH GRASS TO CLEAN UP FROM YARDS AND THE ROADWAY. THERE WERE 5
BRIDGES IMPACTED BY STORM SURGE AND TIDAL FLOODING, AND ALL WERE
CLEARED BY GDOT AS HAVING NO DAMAGE. THE FOUR ST. MARYS BRIDGES
IMPACTED WERE HIGHWAY 40 AT DARK ENTRY CREEK, BORRELL BLVD,
SUGARMILL BLVD (SOUTH DARK ENTRY CK), AND THE NORTH RIVER CAUSEWAY.
AT ITS HIGHEST POINT, WATER WAS ON THE TRAVEL PORTION OF THE
CAUSEWAY. IN UNINCORPORATED AREAS, THE BRIDGE ON HARRIETTS BLUFF
ROAD JUST WEST OF SHEFFIELD ISLAND RD. WAS IMPACTED BUT NOT DAMAGED.
SHEFFIELD ISLAND RD WAS BRIEFLY UNDER WATER, AND A ONE MILE STRETCH
OF DIRT ROAD IN THE DOVER BLUFF AREA, NEAR CUJO POINT, WAS FLOODED
THEN WASHED AWAY. THREE TORNADO WARNINGS WERE ISSUED DURING THE
EVENT WITH NO INDICATIONS OF TORNADO DAMAGE. RAIN BANDS CREATED
BRIEF PERIODS OF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. A TREE
DOWN/POWER OUTAGE INCIDENT NORTHWEST OF WOODBINE WAS DETERMINED TO
BE FROM THE WIND GUSTS AND NOT A TORNADO.
NASSAU
IMPACTS FROM NICOLE WERE LIMITED MAINLY FROM YULEE EAST TOWARD THE
COAST. MAJOR STORM SURGE FLOODING WAS REPORTED ACROSS FERNANDINA
BEACH AND AMELIA CITY. AT 10:54 AM ON THU NOV 10TH, THE NATIONAL
OCEAN SERVICE TIDE STATION ALONG THE AMELIA RIVER IN FERNANDINA
BEACH RECORDED A PEAK WATER LEVEL OF 3.81 FEET ABOVE MEAN HIGHER
HIGH WATER (MHHW). MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS AT 3.5 FEET ABOVE MHHW.
THIS WAS THE HIGHEST WATER LEVEL SINCE HURRICANE MATTHEW IN OCTOBER
2016, WHEN THE WATER LEVEL AT THIS GAUGE PEAKED AT 4.13 FEET ABOVE
MHHW. ON WEDNESDAY NOV. 9TH AROUND 9:50 AM, NASSAU COUNTY FIRE
RESCUE REPORTED TIDAL FLOODING ALONG NORTH FRONT STREET. AT 11:12
AM, NASSAU COUNTY FIRE RESCUE REPORTED ESCAMBIA STREET WAS FLOODED
AN IMPASSABLE DUE TO TIDAL FLOODING INUNDATION DUE TO THE STRONG
NOR’EASTER AHEAD OF NICOLE. AT 11 AM, NASSAU COUNTY FIRE RESCUE
REPORTED THAT DADE STREET WAS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATER. AROUND 815
AM ON THU NOV. 10TH, MAJOR STORM SURGE FLOODING WAS OBSERVED NORTH
OF THE HARBOR MARINA IN FERNANDINA BEACH. THE FERNANDINA BEACH FIRE
DEPARTMENT REPORTED FLOODING ALONG N FRONT STREET. DADE STREET WAS
CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. AROUND 1038 AM ON NOV. 11TH, A STRUCTURE
BENEATH THE SHAVE ICWW BRIDGE HAD ABOUT 6-12 INCHES OF WATER INSIDE.
AT 10:41 AM, NASSAU COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED STREET
FLOODING ON PINEY ISLAND DRIVE WITH ABOUT 1 FOOT OVER ROADWAY.
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS MEASURED WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40-50 MPH IN YULEE
AND FERNANDINA BEACH. AROUND 2.5 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN
FERNANDINA BEACH.
BRANTLEY
ONE RESIDENCE HAD WIND DAMAGE FROM A FALLEN TREE IN WAYNESVILLE.
SUWANNEE
AROUND 12:29 PM ON NOVEMBER 10TH, SUWANNEE COUNTY EM REPORTED THAT
COUNTY ROAD 137 WAS CLOSED NEAR WELLBORN DUE TO DOWNED POWER LINES,
TREES AND POWER POLES.
DUVAL
SEVERE BEACH EROSION AND SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS OCCURRED ALONG THE
JACKSONVILLE BEACHES WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. MAJOR TO
MODERATE STORM SURGE FLOODING OCCURRED WITHIN THE ST. JOHNS RIVER
BASIN INCLUDING THE TROUT RIVER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
DAMAGE OCCURRED. THE JACKSONVILLE BEACH PIER SUSTAINED MINOR DAMAGE
WITH A FEW PLANKS BLOWN OUT. ON WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 9TH, AT 2:40 AM,
A MESONET STATION NEAR FORT CAROLINE MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 52 MPH.
AT 4:20 AM, THE STATION MEASURED A GUST TO 56 MPH FROM THE NNE. AT
9:30 AM, THE PARK SERVICE ON LITTLE TALBOT ISLAND REPORTED THAT
STORM SURGE INUNDATION WAS OVER THE ROAD DURING THE HIGH TIDE AND
IMPACTED THE ENTRANCE TO FORT GEORGE ISLAND. AT 9:35 AM, THE PARK
SERVICE REPORTED MINOR STORM SURGE INUNDATION DURING THE HIGH TIDE
AFFECTED MOST OF THE FORT CAROLINE NATIONAL MEMORIAL. AT 10:30 AM,
THE BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED THAT HOGAN’S CREEK OVERFLOWED WITH
STORM SURGE FLOODING AND FLOODED A NEARBY PARKING LOT IN
SPRINGFIELD. AROUND THE SAME TIME, THE SOUTH BANK OF THE ST. JOHNS
RIVER FLOODED WITH STORM SURGE AND INUNDATED SOUTHAMPTON ROAD AROUND
HIGH TIDE. THE RIVER GAUGE AT JACKSONVILLE MEASURED 1.83 FT MHHW
WHICH IS MINOR FLOODING FOR THIS LOCATION AT HIGH TIDE AROUND 10:30
AM. AT 10:34 AM, BROADCAST MEDIA SHARED A PHOTO OF A FLOODED PARKING
LOT NEAR THE BEACH BLVD BOAT RAMP NEAR POTTSBURG CREEK DURING HIGH
TIDE. THIS AREA IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. AT 4:30 PM, A MESONET
SITE AT JACKSONVILLE BEACH MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 50 MPH. A BOAT
BROKE LOOSE FROM THE MARINA IN ORTEGA RIVER AND CAUGHT FIRE AND
SUNK. IN ADDITION, AN ELECTRICAL FIRE DESTROYED AN APARTMENT
BUILDING AT ISLAND POINTE COMPLEX ALONG THE TROUT RIVER. NUMBER OF
POWER OUTAGES REPORTED WERE AT LEAST 25,000. ON THURSDAY, NOVEMBER
10TH, AT 12:28 AM, THE ASOS STATION AT THE JACKSONVILLE
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 51 MPH FROM THE NORTH.
AT 5:36 AM, THE MAYPORT NAVAL STATION ASOS SITE MEASURED A WIND GUST
OF 52 MPH. AT 8:20 AM, A MESONET SITE AT NEPTUNE BEACH MEASURED A
WIND GUST OF 52 MPH. AT 8:52 AM, THE ASOS STATION AT NAVAL STATION
MAYPORT MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 55 MPH. AT 9:05 AM, THE CRAIG
EXECUTIVE AIRPORT ASOS MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH. AT 9:22 AM,
THE JACKSONVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ASOS MEASURED A WIND GUST OF
60 MPH. BY 9:25 AM, BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED THAT MULTIPLE AREAS IN
SAN MARCO AND THE SOUTHBANK AREA OF THE ST. JOHNS RIVER EXPERIENCED
STORM SURGE FLOODING. STREETS INCLUDING ALAMO STREET, RIVER ROAD,
SOUTHAMPTON ROAD, SAN MARCO BLVD AND LASALLE STREET WERE FLOODED. AT
9:53 AM, THE ASOS STATION AT MAYPORT MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 59 MPH.
AT 9:56 AM, THE HUGUENOT PARK MESONET STATION MEASURED A WIND GUST
OF 73 MPH. THIS WAS THE STRONGEST GUST ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
NICOLE FOR THE NWS JACKSONVILLE FORECAST AREA (SE GA AND NE FL). AT
10 AM, A MESONET STATION AT TIAA BANK FIELD IN JACKSONVILLE MEASURED
A WIND GUST OF 55 MPH. AT 10:03 AM, THE CRAIG EXECUTIVE AIRPORT ASOS
MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 58 MPH. AT 10:06 AM, THE NOS TIDE GAUGE AT
MAYPORT NEAR THE ENTRANCE OF THE ST. JOHNS RIVER BASIN RECORDED A
PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION OF 3.58 FT MHHW DATUM. MAJOR FLOODING
BEGINS AT 3.3 FT MHHW AT THIS LOCATION. THIS WAS HIGHER THAN THE
PEAK WATER LEVEL OF 3.21 FT MHHW THAT OCCURRED DURING HURRICANE
MATTHEW IN OCTOBER 2016. AT 10:16 AM, THE PUBLIC REPORTED MAJOR
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF YARDS AND DOCKS IN THE HAMMOCKS OF OAK
LANDING ALONG THE ICWW. AT 10:23 AM, BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED 1-2 FT
OF STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE STREETS OF SAN MARCO AND HIGH TIDE
WAS STILL ABOUT 1.5 HRS FROM PEAK INUNDATION. TIDE GAUGES BETWEEN
DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE AND THE ATLANTIC ALONG THE ST. JOHNS RIVER
WERE ALL REPORTING MAJOR FLOODING LEVELS. AT 12:20 PM, THE PUBLIC
REPORTED SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOOD INUNDATION FROM THE ICWW WITH
WATER NEAR HOMES AND IN LOWER PORTIONS OF MARSH HAMMOCK DRIVE EAST.
THE WATER DEPTH WAS DEEPER THAN IAN (2022) BUT LESS THAN IRMA
(2017). HIGH TIDE WAS IMMINENT AT THIS LOCATION. AT 12:50 PM,
BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN NEIGHBORHOODS NEAR
THE TROUT RIVER OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. SOME LOCATIONS REPORTED 2.5
FT OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION FLOODING. AROUND THIS TIME, AN
ELECTRICAL FIRE DESTROYED AN APARTMENT BUILDING AT ISLAND POINTE
COMPLEX ALONG THE TROUT RIVER. AT 12:59 PM, THE PUBLIC REPORTED
WATER WAS IN YARDS AND OVER THE DOCKS NEAR THE ISLE OF PALMS ALONG
THE ICWW BETWEEN BEACH BLVD AND JTB BLVD AND WAS MUCH HIGHER THAN
IAN (2022). AT 1:06 PM, THE USGS TIDE GAUGE AT THE MAIN STREET
BRIDGE IN JACKSONVILLE RECORDED A PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION VALUE
OF 3.26 FT MHHW. MAJOR FLOODING FOR THIS LOCATION BEGINS AT 3 FT
MHHW DATUM. AT 1:55 PM, BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED THAT THE
SOUTHAMPTON NEIGHBORHOOD ALONG THE SOUTH BANK OF THE ST. JOHNS RIVER
EXPERIENCED STORM SURGE FLOODING INUNDATION. STREETS WERE FLOODED
AND WATER SURROUNDED HOMES WITH SOME WATER INTRUSION POSSIBLY INSIDE
SOME STRUCTURES. AT 2 PM, BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED STORM SURGE
INUNDATION WAS ONGOING AT MEMORIAL PARK IN THE JACKSONVILLE
RIVERSIDE AREA. STREETS INCLUDING MARGARET STREET AND RIVERSIDE
AVENUE WERE FLOODED WITH HIGH TIDE. FLOOD WATER INUNDATED THE GROUND
FLOOR OF THE ADJACENT BUILDING AT PARK LANE CONDOS. STORM SURGE
INUNDATION IN RIVERSIDE REACHED OSCEOLA AND OAK STREETS. PEOPLE WERE
WADING THROUGH THE WATER AND THE WATER WAS APPROXIMATELY MID-THIGH
DEEP. RIVER GAUGES IN THE AREA REPORTED A MAJOR FLOOD STAGE WITH
INUNDATION 3.25-3.35 FT MHHW. STREET FLOODING OCCURRED IN PIRATES
COVE IN THE ORTEGA RIVER FROM STORM SURGE. A LARGE TREE FELL ONTO A
HOME IN THE JAX NORTHSIDE RESULTING IN SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE. OTHER
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TREE DAMAGE OCCURRED ACROSS THE COUNTY. MINOR
DAMAGE WAS REPORTED TO BEACH WALKOVERS. A BOAT BROKE LOOSE FROM THE
MARINA IN THE ORTEGA RIVER, CAUGHT FIRE AND SANK. RECORDED RAINFALL
WAS GENERALLY FROM 2-4 INCHES ACROSS THE COUNTY.