JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — Action News Jax First Alert Weather Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh said we may need to watch portions of the Gulf and/or the Caribbean next week and beyond.
Buresh said it’s in response to a “baggy” trough of low pressure that may be over the region left from a rather strong trough moving into the Gulf coast region this week into the weekend.
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In addition, Buresh said several long-range global forecast models are latching on to a tropical wave crossing the Atlantic next week into the following weekend & are trying to develop a tropical cyclone.
The timing & intensity range widely, which is not surprising this far in advance. But the possibility does make sense given:
- An early season uptick in tropical waves.
- Above average and warm ocean temperatures over most of the lower Atlantic Basin (has cooled to the north).
- The El Nino has just kicked in and is still strengthening (which may help to slow the season near its climatological peak in September/early October).
Check out the latest “Talking the Tropics With Mike” entry for a full analysis.
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