Talking the Tropics With Mike: Olga moves ashore & quickly moves north/northeast

Oct. 26, 2019 — The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.

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** Tropical depression #17 strengthened into tropical storm "Olga" Fri. before making landfall west of New Orleans. No direct impacts for Jacksonville/NE Fl./SE Ga. but heavy rain, gusty winds & isolated tornadoes will occur from the Fl. Panhandle to New Orleans & Central Louisiana through late Saturday **

The tropical wave & an area of low pressure with persistent showers & t'storms is moving N/NE over the Western Gulf of Mexico & was upgraded to t.d. #17 Fri. morning then tropical storm Olga late Fri. afternoon. The remnant low pressure system is moving quickly north/northeast along a cold front producing heavy rain, flooding & isolated tornadoes all the way north to the Ohio Valley.

Rainfall forecast:

Meanwhile.... a large upper low is over the NE Atlantic within which a compact tropical storm, Pablo has formed. Pablo will stay over the open NE Atlantic to the east of the Azore Islands.

Atlantic dust:

2019 names..... "Rebekah" is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:

East Atlantic:

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: